As-Is vs. After-Repair Value (ARV):Â
are two critical valuation metrics every real estate investor must understand. The as-is value represents a property’s worth in its current condition, while the after-repair value (ARV) reflects its potential value after renovations. One of the biggest challenges investors face is determining both values accurately to make informed buying decisions.
One of the toughest things in the process of buying a property for investment is determining how much the property is worth now and what it could be valued at if fully repaired for lease or resale.
Which is more difficult to determine, as-is or as-repaired (also called ARV or After Repair Value)? You might think that estimating the as-is value is the easier task, but it’s somewhat more complicated than assessing the ARV.
An ARV is typically synonymous with retail value for a home or other real property that has been fully repaired and upgraded. In instances where the property is intended to be held for lease, or sold to a landlord buyer, the ARV is equivalent to the value as a good condition rental, which is generally 5-10% less than properties held as owner-occupied residences (for B and C class properties).
The most common way to determine the ARV is by using the comparison approach or ‘substitution method’ to draw a conclusion of value based on the similarities and differences between the subject and active and recently sold listings.
In markets where many closings are taking place and the absorption rate is low (in months), 3-6 months is typically the time frame from which an appraiser will consider a sold listing as appropriate for comparison to the subject property. When the transaction volume has been strong, there are generally many suitable comparables available; however, when sales are declining, it becomes more challenging to accurately estimate property value as there is less available data to draw inferences from.
The process of determining as-is value or current market value can utilize the substitution method when there are an adequate number of properties in a condition and location similar to the subject. As investors, we’re often most interested in those properties that have improvement potential, making this a common concern. When there are too few properties in comparable condition, it becomes more difficult to make well-supported conclusions, although adjustments can be made to comparables to account for particular differences in condition and functional utility.
Why is as-is value important to consider?
We need to know how much the subject property is worth in its current state to be able to determine the potential gross margin in rehabbing and reselling or holding. If the condition is fair and demand is high, the as-is value may be relatively strong, reducing the level of renovation that must be completed to achieve optimal value and economic efficiency.
Where the inverse is true, and the market is retracting, as-is value and its method of calculation becomes even more critical to prevent exit losses. We use the as-is value in conjunction with ARV to arrive at effective offering prices that allow sufficient room for costs and net profits, while also fairly compensating the seller of the property.
How can you ensure the values you rely upon are accurate?
The weight of financial and legal transactions involved in the transfer of real property require us to maintain a keen sense (if not insight) into the market value of properties, both in current and prime condition.
The most effective strategies to develop this insight include thorough due diligence, becoming a local market expert, assembling a team, and working with specialized valuation professionals. Put in the time and read local real estate industry publications to stay updated on market trends, new regulations, employment and production, inventory levels, population growth, and numerous other important social and economic factors to monitor.
What if you’re not a real estate professional by trade, or you simply don’t have the time to read over market reports on a daily basis?
Put together a team that will bridge that gaps in your available time and knowledge set. Partner will an experienced broker that specializes in the class of properties you’re most enthusiastic about. Hire a real estate attorney and finance expert to protect your interests and keep you profitable and compliant.
A key player in your investment team is your valuations professional.
A skilled appraiser or valuations firm that knows the market you operate in and understands your investment objectives will ensure that your offers are low enough to achieve an excellent margin and that you don’t suffer losses due to excessive holding costs or unanticipated market fluctuations.
Working with valuations pros shows your commitment to partners and investors, supports your credibility, and strengthens your offering position by providing solid market data and expert conclusions. Perhaps more importantly, working with professionals decreases your liability for negligence in conducting the transaction and reduces your risk of financial losses over the course of the project and at its exit.
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Probably the most common issue we hear with appraisals is the amount and type of adjustments. Homeowners, agents, and lenders alike tend to question reports and ask questions about the amount of adjustments.
Condition, location, closing/contract date, and features are given a lot of attention for the amount of adjustments. If you’re involved with the real estate business, you know how much scrutiny appraisals and their preparers get for valuations that come in lower than expected.
What is an adjustment?
An adjustment, as it relates to appraisal (not chiropracty), is a small line-item subtraction or addition to the value of a comparable to account for changes in demand attributable to each internal and external factor.
Each comparable or difference taken individually won’t provide a sufficient basis for estimating the value of the property (another point about this in a moment), but when a selection of active and sold comparables are adjusted, it provides strong statistical support for an estimate of value that accurately represents market value.
The more accurate the adjustments and the quality/similarity of the comparables, the narrower the range of possible value and the more accurate the report. This is why professional independent appraisers place so much emphasis on collecting substantial and relevant market data to make the most accurate adjustments and final reconciliations.
Estimate of value?
An appraisal or valuation is a professional opinion of the value of an asset at a given point in time. The estimate can be derived after adjusting the comparables through a process called reconciliation using statistical approaches.
How do appraisers figure out how much to adjust comparables for things like better condition, less utility, settlement date, or superior location?
The most basic way is by studying the local market (direct observation) to understand how differences uniquely influence value in a submarket. More scientific valuation firms will employ a statistical regression method known as paired analysis to study how specific property features affect value between numerous pairs of properties sharing the same differences.
Let’s clear the air about time-based adjustments. This is an adjustment that works a little differently than other physical characteristic adjustments. If your sold comparable seems like it’s the perfect match for your subject, and would really put over the value you need to get funded, BUT, the contract or closing date is more than six months past (or less in rapid markets), make sure the appraiser considers adjustments for appreciation.
Adjusting for Time
The adjustment is calculated by adjusting the value of the comparable by the rate of annual appreciation, divided by 12, times the number of months since it was sold or went under contract.
Example
A $500K comparable property sold 7 months ago might have this adjustment: 7% annual appreciation/12 months*7months* the value of the property:
[(.07/12)*7]x500,000=.041×500,000=+$20,417
As you can see, these values are very realistic for many markets and an adjustment for time can give a major boost to your valuation.
Contract Date vs Closing Date
Depending on the particulars of the property or transaction, contract date or closing date may be more important in evaluating the suitability of and estimating the adjustments for a sold comparable. Contract date is important to consider when comparing properties as the market is constantly fluctuating. Closing dates are also considered, but often delays in funding and closing result in settlement dates that don’t reflect the market period influencing the contracted price.
Another thing to note is that when comparables are superior to the subject (the property being appraised), the estimated difference in value is subtracted from the value of the comparable. A good example here is if the comparable has a pool and the subject does not: we would subtract the estimated market value of the pool (not the construction cost) from the comparable.
After making adjustments for numerous factors, we begin to get a very clear idea about the likely value of our subject property, especially when the market is brisk and many sold and active comparables are available for analysis.
The numbers should make sense.
So it’s not that complicated after all; however, it does take a tremendous amount of experience and insight (and not the least of all: licensing, certification, apprenticeship, and hundreds of hours of practice). Don’t take it for granted that the appraiser assigned by the lender, or dispatched by the conglomerate appraisal management company in the region, knows what they’re doing when it comes to reconciling values in a dynamic local market. It’s okay to questions values and the logic behind the assumptions underlying a report.
When you work with valuations professionals that offer value, insight, diligence, and transparency, you can expect to have your questions answered and feel certain about the accuracy of your valuation. In the high-value field of real estate, the quality of appraisals plays a key role in investment decisions and their outcomes.
Appraisers know the definitions of “as is” & “ARV”. We just want to know how to the actual appraisal report. The 1004 form has a spot for one market value, which is typically “As Is”. Where can I include the ARV on the appraisal report? I have selected about 8 comparable sales from from $300,000 for fair physical condition like the subject from $425000 in average to good physical condition. Do I have to do two sale grids for “As Is” value and another for After Repaired Value? Thanks, Luis